Betting Tips 3e715f

Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – December 12th 1o72t

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By
andrewmount
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andrewmount Horse Racing Expert

Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.

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Horse Racing Expert

Published11 Dec 2024

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Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.

Andrew heads to Taunton, Newcastle (AW) and Warwick for his three stats-based selections on Thursday, December 12th…

TAUNTON 2.05 325o6e

TOUT SUR MOI (system – Jane Williams, handicappers in December) 6j2925

Since 2018, Jane Williams has won with 15 of her 92 handicappers in the month of December for a profit of £18.26 to a £1 level stake at SP and TOUT SUR MOI qualifies in this 2m7.5f novices’ handicap chase. The five-year-old finished second, albeit a modest second, over hurdles here last time and can take a step forward on his chase debut.

 

NEWCASTLE 2.17 674q6r

BLUE LAKOTA (system – Sioux Nation, small fields) 644a67

Progeny of the sire Sioux Nation have a good record in small fields (ten or fewer runners), landing 126 of their 679 starts (18.6% strike-rate) for a profit of £75.65 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 103.13, A/E = 1.20). Those who finished second, third or fourth last time out were 65 from 222 (29.3%) for a profit of £110.67 and BLUE LAKOTA, runner-up here the last twice, qualifies in this ten-runner 6f handicap.

 

WARWICK 3.00 2b634a

MAKO OF THE GLADE (system – Venetia Williams, handicap chasers, first run after a wind operation). 5n5c2g

Since wind operations had to be declared at the end of January in 2018, Venetia Williams is 16 from 48 with her handicap chasers on their first start after the procedure for a profit of £60.53 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those returning from a break of 150 days or longer were 14 from 40 (+£61.53) and MAKE OF THE GLADO has undergone the surgery before his chase debut.

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Author photo
andrewmount
Horse Racing Expert

Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.

Get to know andrewmount better
Author photo
andrewmount Horse Racing Expert

Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.

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