Betting Tips 3e715f
Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Friday Picks – November 22nd 1x2a6c
Andrew Mount is a leading racing adviser, broadcaster and journalist with over 20 years experience in the industry. He is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing & Football Outlook, the Racing Post Weekender and the GG.co.uk website and has written more than 20 horses-to-follow books. Andrew specialises in a systems-based statistical approach to betting sites and is an expert pundit on William Hill radio and Racing Post TV.
Get to know andrewmount betterPublished22 Nov 2024
Leading horse racing advisor Andrew Mount contributes to various Racing Post publications including the Weekender and Racing & Football Outlook, plus the GG.co.uk website. Unearthing value bets via handy systems and statistics, he shares his latest thoughts with SportsCasting readers below.
Andrew heads to Catterick, Ascot and Newcastle (AW) for his three stats-based selections on Friday, November 22nd…
CATTERICK 12.05 5335p
YOU SOME GIRL (system – handicap hurdles in Britain, won over hurdles last time out, quick return) 1h6n2x
Since the beginning of 2012, backing handicap hurdlers in Britain who had won over hurdles last time and were returned to the track within a week would have found 385 winners from 945 bets (40.7% strike-rate) and returned a profit of £52.37 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 337.46, A/E = 1.14). YOU SOME GIRL scored comfortably in a useful time at Newcastle seven times ago and can follow up.
ASCOT 1.30 1ay5k
WADE OUT (system – Uttoxeter winners next time out) 5x1o5f
Uttoxeter form has travelled well in the last couple of years, with winners at the Staffordshire venue (since the beginning of 2013) following up 79 times from 265 qualifying bets (29.8%) for a profit of £52.41 (expected winners = 61.28, A/E = 1.29). Olly Murphy’s WADE OUT, successful in his sole point outing, took his record under rules to two from two when keeping on well to land a Uttoxeter novices’ hurdle last time and looks a shade of value in this “Introductory” hurdle.
NEWCASTLE 4.10 123d1g
GOOD REWARD (system – Newcastle straight-track handicaps, stall 1) x553i
Most punters and pundits regard high draws as favoured in straight-track handicaps at Newcastle (5f-1m) but stall 1 runners have more than held their own of late and they often go off at value prices. In the past 12 months, simply backing all stall 1 runners in handicaps of six or more runners on the straight course would have found 44 winners from 284 bets (15.5% strike-rate) for a profit of £78.04 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 24.87, A/E = 1.77). GOOD REWARD, who makes her nursery debut, needs to step up on considerably on what she’s shown in maiden/novice company but she’s a huge price (50-1 best at the time of writing) and could be worth a small each-way interest.
Check out the best horse racing betting sites in the UK right now.
Over at online bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new customer offer where punters can sign up and get £30 in free bets after betting £10. Here are all the details:
- New customers aged 18 or over opt in and stake £10+ on any sporting event.
- The minimum odds for a qualifying bet are 1/2 (1.50).
- Once the qualifying bet settles 3x £10 free bets will be awarded to your .
- Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with odds of 3/10 (1.30) or greater.
- Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets do not qualify.
- Each Way bets, system bets and profit boost are not permitted for qualifying bet.
- Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying bet settling, are non-withdrawable and stakes not returned with winnings.
- Further and conditions apply.
Related 6872t
- There is more from Andrew Mount every day on SportsCasting
- Check out more horse racing news on the site with regular updates
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